Afghanistan's Front Page | National & International Reporting
Israeli airstrikes in southern Lebanon continue even after a US-brokered ceasefire extension. The Polymarket odds for Trump endorsing an Israeli ceasefire by April 30 sit at 100% YES, a price that �...
The firing of Navy Secretary John Phelan, announced through a Pentagon social media post, has drawn attention to the market for the next Trump Cabinet departure. The likelihood of a Cabinet exit befo�...
Israeli Channel 12 reports that the defense minister is shifting strategy toward economic disruption of Iran. The Iranian regime fall by June 30 market is at 8.5% YES, up from 8% yesterday and 6% a�...
SpaceX’s focus on AI in its IPO filing has pushed the odds of a timely public offering higher. The market for SpaceX going public by June 30, 2026, sits at 74% YES, up from 71% yesterday. Market ...
Trump retweeted a column suggesting he doesn’t need a deal with Iran. The US-Iran permanent peace deal by April 30 market sits at 6% YES, down from 20% yesterday. Market reaction The retweet sen...
The FOMC meeting on April 28-29 is expected to maintain the current interest rate range of 3.50-3.75%, with the market for a 50+ bps cut after the April meeting at 10% YES. CME FedWatch shows a 90%�...
Treasury yields remain steady amid waning optimism for a US-Iran ceasefire extension. The likelihood of extending the ceasefire by April 21 is at 0% YES, and the market for Bitcoin dipping to $60,000�...
Trump’s endorsement of an Israeli ceasefire by April 30 sits at 100% YES with 7 days remaining, even as Israel continues military strikes in southern Lebanon. Market reaction The Israel x Hezbol...
Day 56 of the extended ceasefire in the 2026 Iran War has produced no progress on diplomatic fronts. The probability of Donald Trump attending a meeting with Iran by April 30 has dropped to 2% YES,�...
The US-Iran ceasefire has expired and tensions are rising, but Bitcoin’s odds of dipping to $60,000 in April sit at just 1.4% on Polymarket. Bitcoin’s odds of hitting $60,000 in April are at 1....